Sunday, November 9, 2014

Prisoner's Dilemma Tested in Real-Life, Blog #3, Dignan


What would happen if a prisoner’s dilemma experiment were performed in real-life? Well, a Business Insider article presents the outcomes of an experiment that compared the cooperation of prisoners in Lower Saxony’s primary women’s prison with a group of female college students.
In lecture, Professor Shirk demonstrated prisoner’s dilemma for our class with the payoff of candy and the punishment of no candy.
In this experiment, rather than offering years off of a prison sentence (or candy, like in GVPT200), the group of female students received their payoff in Euros and the prisoners received the equivalent in cigarettes or coffee. When pairs were given the option to defect or cooperate, it was found that the prisoners were significantly more cooperative. The article notes that 37% of students and 56% of inmates cooperated. And 13% of student pairs and 30% of prisoner pairs cooperated with each other.
The Business Insider reporter seems shocked by the results; however, I would argue that the results are not so surprising. Prisoners typically live in tightly-knit communities within their prisons. They often depend on each other for cigarettes, luxury snacks/foods, and other rare commodities that the prison doesn’t provide them. Also, the prisoners generally trust each other. Furthermore, this experiment was more than just a lab game for the prisoners. When they return to the prison, their behavior will have real consequences - they will either be punished or rewarded by their peers. Since the prisoners depend on each other for the coffee and cigarettes they receive in the game, they will probably be expected to share with their friends.
In addition, some people in prison spend their lives practicing game theory and playing prisoner’s dilemma. Also, the criminal culture condemns non-cooperation. Many of the prisoners probably have much more experience with how these games work than the average college student. Their experience with and understanding of the game makes it likely that they will be able to cooperate better than the students who have probably never played a prisoner’s dilemma game.
I also think it is interesting how all of the subjects, both prisoners and students, are all female. I think it would be interesting to see how men would fair in this experiment, since men and women typically behave differently in these games. Women stereotypically cooperate more than men.
One issue I find with this experiment is that the payoffs and consequences are not as serious as risking years of one’s life (as it would be in a true prisoner’s dilemma). To get more accurate results, I would suggest the researchers observe the behavior of people who are actually facing time in prison for a crime. They should also observe the behavior of students who are facing more detrimental consequences, such as academic probation for cheating. I feel that if the payoffs are more significant, the experiment is more likely to yield results that closely mirror the real world.

6 comments:

  1. how do you think the game would fair if it was done with people who considered each other "brothers" such as fraternities or gangs? do you think cooperation would lower because of loyalty or fear of rejections? or do you hink deep down people would snitch about the same?

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    1. I assume that the female prisoners they tested were probably loyal to each other, much like fraternity brothers. I believe the college students they tested did not know each other, and they cooperated much less. This experiment from the article would argue that as loyalty increases, so does cooperation, since it gives both players a mutually beneficial payoff. However, if the members are very loyal to each other and face dire consequences for colluding (like gang members), they are probably much more likely to stay quiet and not snitch.

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  2. I agree that tested male prisoners may end in completely different results. Females consider emotions more when making decisions and may be more loyal than men. Females may be more willing to trust each other than men. I personally don't think they would be expected to share with their friends. Prison can be a very hostile environment and often times you have to fend for yourself. I think testing students would be a very interesting situation. Do you think there would be a difference in male and female students?

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    1. I definitely think there would be a difference in the way female and male students respond to the prisoner's dilemma. Not to be too stereotypical, but women are usually more cooperative than men. I think the we would see higher cooperation among female students and more snitching and looking out for self-interest among the men.

      I understand that the people doing this experiment were trying to control for confounding variables by testing only females. But in doing so, they aren't really giving the full picture of how people react to the prisoner's dilemma if they're only testing women.

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  3. Very interesting Sara.

    One thought. Do you think that the prisoners are self-selected to be more cooperative? In other words, they may be the ones that either have been the sucker or are in jail because they decided not to rat. Also interesting is that students were less likely to cooperate than inmates. Maybe we should throw you all in jail!

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    1. I hadn't considered that before you mentioned it, Professor Shirk. But it's likely that the prisoners are self-selected to be more cooperative. I'd also assume that the prisoners have more experience than the college students with playing prisoner's dilemma-style games. Therefore, they probably have a better understanding of how to achieve mutually beneficial payoffs.

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