As
China bolsters its economy and increases its military spending, many who study
International Relations pose the question: “Should the U.S. fear China?” My
answer, simply, would be yes. While I don’t see China initiating a traditional
military mission on the U.S. anytime in the foreseeable future, I could certainly see it using non-traditional
methods, like cyber attacks, to diminish the U.S.’s position as the global
hegemony.
Mearshimer states that China is
probably more dangerous than any hegemony the U.S. faced in the twentieth
century – and this is a scary thought. In the twentieth century alone, the U.S.
took part in major military operations against Nazi Germany, Iraq, Korea, and Vietnam – just to name a few. Ikenberry notes in “Rise of
China and Future of the West,” that China’s influence in the international
arena grows as the U.S.’s position as the global hegemony erodes. He says
realists argue that China will use its growing power to influence and shape the
rules of the international system to better suit its interests. One of China’s
primary interests, like most states, is probably to establish itself as a
hegemony.
Over recent years, China’s economy
has grown significantly, and I expect it to continue this upward trend. A
country’s economic power, a form of hard power, enables the state to increase
its military power as well. As Mr. Shirk stated in his lecture about the Rise
of China, China is expected to surpass the U.S. in economic power in 2030. This
increase in economic power will enable them to amp up its military strength.
However, it is doubtful that China will ever surpass the U.S. in military
spending. If China wishes to dominate the international system as the global
hegemony, it will have to resort to non-conventional methods rather than
customary military action.
One method I predict China will use
to secure its rank as a hegemony is cyber attacks. There have already been
multiple harbingers indicating that this is a potential strategy for China
(just check out some of these news articles from this week about China and
cyber attacks: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2014/10/21/apples-icloud-service-suffers-cyber-attack-in-china-putting-passwords-in-peril/;
http://www.fastcompany.com/3037336/china-launches-cyber-attack-as-new-iphones-arrive).
I believe cyber attacks pose a great threat to the security of our
international system. Society relies so heavily on the Internet – for
everything from people tweeting about what they had for breakfast to the
government storing top-secret information. China allegedly has already launched
attacks on the new iPhone 6 to hack into user’s personal information. In modern
times, the information stored on laptops and cell phones is often quite
personal and many people don’t want their privacy infringed upon. If American
citizens don’t want the NSA snooping on their private information, I can
guarantee that they probably won’t feel comfortable with the Chinese government
hacking into their personal Internet information.
But cyber security not only poses
threats to individuals, it also can be use as an attack on foreign governments.
If China were to hack into the U.S. government’s databases, it could easily destroy
us. They could take command of our military or possibly detonate weapons of
mass destruction with the click of a button halfway around the world. While
these scenarios are extreme and probably unrealistic, it is worth noting that
China could possibly secure a position as a hegemony in the international
system through the non-traditional method of cyber attacks.
I predict that these cyber attacks will be prevalent in
modern and future international relations. In order for the U.S. to secure its
position as the global hegemony, it is important to protect ourselves and our
government against foreign cyber attacks.
I think you're right to point out the relevance of cyber security - but do you think the US is particularly vulnerable to cyber attacks? Presumably China is just as vulnerable. Furthermore, whilst China has been repeatedly accused of industrial espionage and spying accusations of cyber attack are slightly different. The US by contrast was implicated in the Stuxnet attack on Iranian centrifuges in an attempt to prevent enrichment. Perhaps China should fear such attack?
ReplyDeleteI suppose that the US could also launch a cyber attack on China. But the US has traditionally used military power to secure its status as the global hegemony. Since China doesn't spend much on its military, it may be able to focus a larger portion of its growing economy on cyber attacks and launch a more sophisticated attack than the US could afford. But you bring up a really good point by mentioning that China and the US are both vulnerable to these attacks.
DeleteAlthough China is rising on the economic scale and may be launching these cyber attacks, do you think China will actually threaten the US. One of the reasons that China has been able to thrive is because of relations with the US, because we are a very large factor in the success of their economy. Do you think that China would become the global hegemony or that the world would enter a bipolar system with China and the US as the two great powers?
ReplyDeleteI believe that either option is possible. There hasn't really been bipolar hegemony since the collapse of the Soviet Union, so I think a major, transformative shift would have to take place in order for us to return to a bipolar system.
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